Tory has significant lead but Keesmaat is making gains: poll

Sep 4 2018, 1:19 pm

With the Toronto municipal election less than two months away, Mayor John Tory continues to have a sizeable lead in the polls.

However, Tory’s main opponent, Jennifer Keesmaat, has gained a slight surge in support from Toronto voters in the past month, according to a new Forum Research poll.

The poll revealed Tory has 65% of support, down from 70% in a survey conducted at the end of July, while Keesmaat’s support has increased to 35%, up five points since July.

“Keesmaat has narrowed the gap on Tory, but his lead is so substantial she needs more gains, and quickly, to have any hope at the mayor’s chair,” said Dr. Lorne Bozinoff, President of Forum Research.

More than half of respondents (58%) said they approve of Tory’s performance as mayor, with just under one quarter (24%) saying they disapprove, down from 26% in July.

“But with his approval still higher than half that promises to be a difficult challenge for her,” said Bozinoff.

Those more likely to support Tory are 55 to 64 years old and live in North York or Etobicoke. Those most likely to support Keesmaat are 35 to 44 years old and live in East York or Scarborough.

Forum Research surveyed 1,242 randomly selected Toronto voters in a phone survey on Monday, August 27, just days before Keesmaat announced her ambitious new transit plan.

October 22 is election day in Toronto.

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