Liberal party leader Mark Carney projected to win seat in Ottawa riding

Apr 29 2025, 3:12 am

UPDATE: Prime Minister Mark Carney has delivered his victory speech.


When Mark Carney was sworn in as Canada’s new prime minister on March 14, 2025, he did so under rare circumstances — without holding a seat in the House of Commons.

That changed tonight, as Carney is projected to win his seat as the MP of the riding of Nepean, located within Ottawa, officially giving him a place in Parliament to match his leadership role.

As of the time of writing, with 70 of 229 polls reporting in Nepean, Carney has taken the lead with 10,968 votes, followed by Barbara Bal of the Conservative Party of Canada with 5,853 votes and the NDP with 362 votes.

More importantly, above all, the Liberals are currently projected to form government. At the time of writing, it remains to be seen whether this is a minority or majority victory.

Carney’s initial appointment followed his election as Liberal Party leader on March 9, 2025, after a rapid rise through political ranks.

While it is constitutionally permitted for a prime minister to govern without a seat, political tradition strongly favours quick efforts to rectify the situation, and Carney’s by-election win now solidifies his standing both in Parliament and across the country.

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