Toronto could see 2,500 COVID-19 cases per day by end of April

Toronto is on track to see 2,500 new COVID-19 cases per day by the end of April if transmission remains at its current level, according to the latest modelling from the city’s medical officer of health.

Variants of concern are driving increased transmission, and if things stay the same, then Toronto alone could see well over 2,000 cases per day by the end of the month, according to a new report from Dr. Eileen de Villa.

City of Toronto

Toronto’s seven-day moving average for new daily cases is 931, and the city saw 1,282 new cases on Monday.

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Toronto’s test-positive rate is also above 8%, well past the desirable threshold of 5%.

De Villa’s report also suggested vaccines still weren’t reaching the hardest-hit neighbourhoods equitably, and urged the province to expand vaccine availability in Toronto.