Why this is a crucial week for Toronto's COVID-19 cases

Dec 8 2020, 11:25 am

With Toronto and Peel Region 15 days into the second lockdown, looking at COVID-19 numbers this week is crucial in knowing how effective the closures have been.

Because the symptoms of the virus can take up to 14 days to appear the case numbers reported this week by Toronto and Peel Region could offer the most accurate measures of the lockdown’s effectiveness.

During a press conference on Monday, Toronto’s Medical Officer of Health Dr. Eileen de Villa said the public health unit will examine various indicators this week like, ages of new patients, where new cases come from, and the number of hospitalizations.

This will be done to determine the city’s next steps, however, de Villa said it is too early to see if the lockdown needs to be extended past December 21.

Toronto and Peel Region have been in lockdown since November 23. Some of the new restrictions included only allowing retail stores to offer curbside pick-up or delivery; restaurants can only be open for pick-up, drive-through, and delivery.

No indoor gatherings are allowed except with members of the same household, and outdoor gatherings are limited to 10 people.

On Monday, de Villa said that since December 1, there have been over 4,100 cases reported and 68 deaths in the city.

“The case counts are so high that I can only call this a very, very serious situation. There’s no way to argue otherwise. COVID-19 is spreading aggressively in Toronto,” she said.

Daily case counts have been over 500 in Toronto for over week.

On Tuesday, December 1, 761 cases were reported, followed by Wednesday’s 438, Thursday’s 421, Friday’s 671, Saturday’s 550, Sunday’s 609, and Monday’s 651.

The current seven-day rolling average of cases is 506—the ideal number is 30, with 12 hospitalizations and 53 outbreaks in institutions.

The current reproductive number is 1.1 with the ideal number being 1.0 or less.

Toronto Public Health

The total case count in Toronto is 45,486 with 38,560 recovered.