The winter forecast for Alberta looks mild but unpredictable

Sep 16 2025, 4:08 pm

Alberta’s winter forecast is out, and it’s shaping up to be a mixed bag of mild temperatures, wet weather, and a few snowy stretches.

The Old Farmer’s Almanac has released its 2026 Canadian Edition, predicting a winter that will be milder than average across much of the Prairies. However, Albertans shouldn’t pack away their parkas just yet.

For the southern Prairies, including Calgary and Edmonton, temperatures are expected to sit above average overall. The coldest stretches will arrive in late November, early December, and early February.

winter forecast

Almanac.ca

While precipitation is forecast to be above normal, snowfall itself is expected to be below average across the region. The snowiest periods are expected in late November and early December, according to the Almanac.

Other parts of Canada could see their own share of variety, from above-normal precipitation in Atlantic Canada and southern British Columbia to below-normal temperatures in southeastern Ontario.

“Winter 2026 promises a season of contrasts,” the Almanac says. “While much of Canada will see milder-than-average temperatures and frequent precipitation, some regions will still experience classic Canadian snowfalls and cold snaps.”

Even though this winter is shaping up to be on the milder side, several climate patterns, including a neutralized La Niña, steady ocean oscillations, and the behaviour of the polar vortex, could still bring blasts of Arctic air and surprise snowfalls.

So while we may get a break from non-stop snow this time, we’ll still have to brace for a few cold snaps before spring finally rolls around!

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