Almost every current poll shows Conservatives winning a majority

Apr 12 2018, 11:33 pm

The possibility of a Progressive Conservative majority Ontario government is looking more and more plausible, according to several recent polls.

Despite the fact that most voters disapprove of PC leader Doug Ford, polls are showing the Conservative party leading the political provincial race.

In fact, polls are showing a strong lead by Ford and his party, as confidence in Kathleen Wynne and the Liberals begins to dwindle.

According to CBC’s Poll Tracker, province-wide opinion polls show the PCs with a comfortable lead at 43.5%. The Liberals trail at 26.9%, while the NDP is third with 22.6% of the polled votes.

At this rate, the projected probability of the Progressive Conservatives winning a majority is 93.8%.

The latest of the polls, released earlier this week by Ipsos on behalf of Global News, shows a nineteen-point lead for the Conservatives in the “905” region surrounding Toronto. This, according to the poll, “would propel them easily into majority territory.”

Meanwhile, in the Toronto proper, the Liberals (38%) have a five-point lead over the Tories (33%), who have a five-point lead over the NDP (28%).

A poll by EKOS Politics last week said that “Doug Ford’s Progressive Conservatives have a clear lead which would produce a majority if there were to be an election tomorrow.”

Mainstreet Research also found that the PCs have now climbed to 50.3% support among decided and leaning voters. The Liberals follow at 23.9%, and the NDP led by Andrea Horwath sits with 18.3% support, while Mike Schreiner and the Greens have 5.2%.

The 42nd Ontario general election will be on Thursday, June 7, 2018, with more than 7,300 voting locations throughout the province.

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