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B.C. population could reach 6.662 million by 2038: Statistics Canada

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DH Vancouver Staff Sep 23, 2014 1:30 pm

British Columbia’s population could grow to 6.662 million by 2038, according to a new report by Statistics Canada.

The report examined five population growth scenarios for each provincial and territorial jurisdiction. In all but one growth scenarios for B.C., immigration is the most significant factor for population growth, including the high-growth scenario of an additional two million residents over the next 25 years.

The low-growth scenario projects the population to reach 5.18 million due to lower levels of immigration, resulting in interprovincial migration becoming the main factor in population growth.

Currently, B.C.’s population sits at 4.582 million, with 2.5 million residing in Metro Vancouver and approximately 800,000 on Vancouver Island.

In 1989, the province had a population of 3.197 million and it crossed the four million mark in 1999-2000.

bc population 2038 statistics canada

Alberta’s population is expected to surpass B.C.’s in most scenarios, bringing it from 4.025 million to between 5.6 million and 6.8 million during the same time period.

As a whole, the national population could reach between 39.35 million and 43.47 million by 2038 – up from 35.158 million in 2013. Ontario and Quebec will remain as the highest populated provinces within this timeframe. In most scenarios, the Maritime provinces are expected to see a population decrease due to interprovincial migration flows.

A long-term high-growth model indicates the Canadian population will grow to 63.5 million by 2063.

Canada

  • Current population: 35,158,000
  • High-growth (2038): 43,474,000
  • Low-growth (2038): 39,345,000

Newfoundland and Labrador

  • Current population: 526,700
  • High-growth (2038): 536,400
  • Low-growth (2038): 426,500

Prince Edward Island

  • Current population: 145,200
  • High-growth (2038): 194,100
  • Low-growth (2038): 162,100

Nova Scotia

  • Current population: 940,800
  • High-growth (2038): 993,300
  • Low-growth (2038): 881,200

New Brunswick

  • Current population: 756,100
  • High-growth (2038): 797,400
  • Low-growth (2038): 715,900

Quebec

  • Current population: 8,155,300
  • High-growth (2038): 10,232,000
  • Low-growth (2038): 8,730,000

Ontario

  • Current population: 13,538,000
  • High-growth (2038): 18,256,100
  • Low-growth (2038): 14,848,500

Manitoba

  • Current population: 1,265,000
  • High-growth (2038): 1,786,600
  • Low-growth (2038): 1,445,700

Saskatchewan

  • Current population: 1,108,300
  • High-growth (2038): 1,527,000
  • Low-growth (2038): 1,173,900

Alberta

  • Current population: 4,025,100
  • High-growth (2038): 6,826,600
  • Low-growth (2038): 5,662,900

British Columbia

  • Current population: 4,582,000
  • High-growth (2038): 6,662,100
  • Low-growth (2038): 5,180,200

Yukon

  • Current population: 36,700
  • High-growth (2038): 62,000
  • Low-growth (2038): 35,900

Northwest Territories

  • Current population: 43,500
  • High-growth (2038): 48,800
  • Low-growth (2038): 38,300

Nunavut

  • Current population: 35,600
  • High-growth (2038): 53,300
  • Low-growth (2038): 43,800

 

Feature Image: Granville Street crowd via Shutterstock

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DH Vancouver Staff
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